Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 21.295301 24.137946 27.240143 30.880341 35.039295 39.647880 45.149051
2025-02-02 17.383103 21.311793 25.965517 31.899885 39.288472 48.213574 59.856233
2025-02-09 14.437254 18.870072 24.485622 32.156057 42.415233 55.739606 74.480978
2025-02-16 12.001634 16.544918 22.632361 31.442581 43.963493 61.263004 87.225148
2025-02-23 10.243970 14.784398 21.169723 30.887429 45.450316 66.695707 100.463776
2025-03-02 8.923675 13.409966 19.994869 30.474126 46.940271 72.164780 114.393324
2025-03-09 7.965119 12.414839 19.204197 30.457543 48.923634 78.511520 130.481331
2025-03-16 7.156549 11.531293 18.446255 30.342845 50.658538 84.588913 146.904013
2025-03-23 6.719937 11.176603 18.463164 31.455903 54.513490 94.602532 171.496247
2025-03-30 6.167103 10.556475 17.956882 31.590890 56.654389 101.872285 192.156484
2025-04-06 5.552708 9.756831 17.046178 30.883069 57.155956 106.198367 207.826378
2025-04-13 5.044990 9.086317 16.281298 30.331791 57.844286 110.898478 224.828320
2025-04-20 4.793611 8.866148 16.326595 31.349419 61.765733 122.535585 258.224356
2025-04-27 4.614529 8.761887 16.576917 32.800444 66.759901 137.055917 300.285474
2025-05-04 4.329281 8.421940 16.337958 33.242442 69.741917 147.840087 335.980683
2025-05-11 3.953927 7.863332 15.607112 32.577087 70.275571 153.436408 360.701211
2025-05-18 3.632239 7.378480 14.971225 32.031241 70.989154 159.512790 387.585199
2025-05-25 3.356770 6.959976 14.426539 31.614421 71.930563 166.226013 417.187193
2025-06-01 3.144463 6.652632 14.083017 31.602529 73.803917 175.387668 454.658526
2025-06-08 2.943311 6.348586 13.714011 31.485509 75.406302 184.111104 492.522355
2025-06-15 2.857634 6.290128 13.880066 32.644003 80.292409 201.753252 558.104119
2025-06-22 2.703449 6.061366 13.636851 32.784808 82.628804 213.168706 608.155388
2025-06-29 2.502996 5.706475 13.066425 32.048839 82.592650 218.281568 640.645252